UTMB/CCC lottery news update

There is a news update (in French) at UTMB website stating the following facts (my translation):

• The 4 Ultra-Trail du Mont-Blanc events (UTMB, CCC, TDS and PTL) received a record 10,000 applications before the deadline on January 9th. 
• UTMB is 195% full, with 800 losers from the previous lottery now entered.
• Therefore those in 2012 UTMB lottery have under 50% chance of winning. 
• CCC is 165% full and those in the 2012 CCC lottery have about 60% chance of winning.
• Over 1,000 runners have registered or pre-registered for TDS. There won't be a draw for TDS.
• PTL is now full with 67 teams pre-registered. 
• The results of the draw will be announced on January 20, 2012 at 10AM (Paris time). 
• If you win in the draw, your registration has to be confirmed before January 31, 2012. 
• Lottery losers will have the opportunity to transfer their registration for TDS - within the limited space of 500 extra places available, and only if the applicants have the 2 points required for TDS qualification. 
• The organizers will have to modify the qualification requirements for 2013: to register for UTMB 2013 the applicants will be required to acquire 7 points in 3 qualification races in 2011 or 2012. For CCC 2013, 2 points in 2011 or 2012 will be required. 
• Solidarity bibs are still available for those who can meet the requirements specified at UTMB website. 

If I will lose in the CCC 2012 lottery, my strategy is clear: go for TDS. TDS sounds like a sweet deal anyway, as you get more kilometers and mountains than in CCC, for the same price! And I do have the deux points required. Those who have done 'em all say that TDS with 7,100 meters of climbing is almost as hard as the full UTMB, although it's only slightly longer in distance than CCC. This is also reflected in the UTMB points allocation: CCC finish is worth 3 points, while both TDS and UTMB are worth 4 points. I'd approach TDS as the French cousin of TVSB, which I will finish in July.